Any word on those for this weekend
6 pack of picks
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 Unregistered(d) |
6 pack of picks |
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Posts: 0 (08/29/03 12:21:45) |
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BigDaddyNole |
Re: 6 pack of picks | ||
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Posts: 60 (08/30/03 20:40:49) |
the top 6 picks from performanZ went 5-1 this weekend
Clemson Georgia -3 Auburn USC +4 Tennessee Fresno St. +20 Iowa -11 Miami (OH) BYU Ga Tech +3.5 CSU Colorado +1.5 was that you who emailed me for these? hope you made some money ...... I didn't bet too much ..... not too confident until the season gets into full swing ... maybe I should be  |
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Unregistered(d) |
What lines do you use to compute top 6? | ||
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Posts: 0 (09/01/03 02:53:35) |
Opening lines or adjusted lines?
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BigDaddyNole |
Re: What lines do you use to compute top 6? | ||
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Posts: 60 (09/01/03 07:13:53) |
I usually try to use the current lines .......... if I am playing in a contest and can get it at the opening line, that's what I'll use ....... but as the season goes on and I start to play these for more $$$, I'll use whatever line I got it at (usually the lines are still close enough and a point or half point doesn't move the order too much)
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Unregistered(d) |
Toledo | ||
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Posts: 0 (09/01/03 07:33:00) |
I think Toledo (L) was a higher 'qualifier' than CU.
Bigger spread diff and lower std dev. |
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BigDaddyNole |
Re: Toledo | ||
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Posts: 60 (09/01/03 09:24:29) |
actually, I had Toledo's line at pick 'em and a projected margin of 6.9 -------- Colorado was +1.5 and projected as a 5.5 point winner (7.0 margin)
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Unregistered(d) |
Std dev | ||
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Posts: 0 (09/01/03 11:03:40) |
Ok, I mixed up the opening and closing lines.
Still the standard deviation on the Toledo line was half that of CU. Doesn't really matter, either way. |
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BigDaddyNole | ||
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Posts: 0 (09/02/03 15:33:42) |
Are you using the average or the Pformanze ratings ?
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Unregistered(d) |
performanZ ratings | ||
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Posts: 0 (09/02/03 16:07:09) |
Just answered my own question.
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BigDaddyNole |
Re: performanZ ratings | ||
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Posts: 60 (09/03/03 05:18:13) |
yup .... basically I take the difference between the projected margin of victory (PerformanZ) and the vegas line ...... the "pick 6" are the 6 games that have the biggest projected difference from the current vegas line ..... and they also have to have a standard deviation that is lower than the difference
I also track all of the games that are more than 5 points off the line ...... last week there were 10 such games: they went 7-2-1 ATS not bad at all for the opening week from my preliminary looks at this weeks numbers (not completed yet), it looks like a TOUGH card this week ...... appears that there might not be enough games that qualify for the "pick six" |
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Unregistered(d) |
Thanks | ||
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Posts: 0 (09/03/03 16:15:30) |
Nice job BigDaddyNole. Thanks for the insight. Good luck this weekend.
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